Clearly the next 48-72 hours are critical in reaching survivors and helping Haitians get back on their feet. The first thing is to clear the rubble, find trapped victims, get food, water & blankets and tents in place and provide medical attention. I’m sure Cuba will step in. They have great doctors and emergency response teams. Cuba provided amazing relief when the Kashmiri earthquake hit a few years ago. The United States, France, and the Latin Americans will also respond.
There’s never a good time for a natural disaster obviously and natural disasters hit Haiti very very hard. Had this happened next door in the Dominican Republic, the damage wouldn’t have been as catastrophic though granted a 7.0 is a 7.0. This is a major seismic event of historic proportions.
Still, I hope world attention on Haiti will bring a renewed focus on a failed and abandoned state. Haiti is rather unique among failed states in that it has not caused wider repercussions to its neighbors. The US and the Dominican Republic have been impacted in terms of Haitian immigration but that’s pretty much it.
The thing is that Haiti is a solvable problem (unlike Afghanistan or Yemen). Not to minimize the problems that confront Haiti. Seventy-six percent of its population lives below the poverty line and 54% in abject poverty (defined as $2 dollar a day or less). There is of course a deep societal cleavage in Haiti with a few families controlling the vast majority of wealth. The GINI is .65 which is one of the worst in the world. But here’s the thing in 1988, only 65% of the population lived below the poverty line. So Haiti is going backwards and it’s a country that can’t afford to go backwards.
Haiti is not just a failed state but it is a collapsing society. And that’s really more the issue. I’m hard pressed to think of a country that confronts as great an ecological challenge as Haiti perhaps parts of Kazakhstan, Russia, China are worse but that parts. The whole of Haiti is an ecological disaster. Maybe North Korea is worse or as bad but we don’t have the clarity (at least I don’t) that we have with Haiti. One can see Haiti’s problem from the air.
The border between the Dominican Republic (the DR) and Haiti is visible from the air. It’s the only world border that is so visible that is not a river or mountain range. That’s because the DR is forested and Haiti is not. The DR is green and Haiti a mauve brown. No country on Earth has been as rapidly deforested as Haiti has been over the past 80 years. Sixty percent of the country was forested in the late 1920s. Today only 1.5% of Haiti is forested. So when all those hurricanes passed over Hispaniola, the DR was scarcely touched while Haiti was ravaged.
So why is Haiti so deforested? Well, ultimately it does come down to governance. The DR had somewhat enlightened if despotic rulers (Joaquín Balaguer had a fondness for parks and he managed to save the DR’s watershed) while Haiti suffered the Duvaliers and perhaps worse a series of inept corrupt kleptocratic governments. But that’s just the overlay.
Here’s the nut of the problem. There is no infrastructure in Haiti. The electrical grid serves perhaps a quarter of the population. Haitians have no fuel with which to cook their meals and thus they took to cutting down their forests to make charcoal.
Now take immigration. We have also seen the Haitian boat people. But most Haitians who leave Haiti either cross into the DR by foot or fly to Miami. 63% of the Haitians who leave Haiti actually have a high school education. What that tells you is that the base for an incipient middle class is voting with the feet as they say but if we can get them to stay they might then pressure Haiti into transforming itself. So Haiti has become poorer because those with skills can flee and not necessarily on a raft.
Getting Haitians to stay really at this point requires the international community getting involved to a degree that hasn’t really been attempted. Basically the country has to be put into a receivership. That, of course, isn’t something we have done before. There is no international mechanism for doing this sort of nation-building.
When I look at Haiti (and I’ve been twice), I see another Easter Island without the Moai. The reason I find Haiti so damn interesting is that well as a historian I am witnessing a societal collapse which is rare. Not that societies don’t collapse but in the course of a human lifetime we are seeing one play out. Governance is of course a factor but that’s too easy an explanation.
So what makes Haiti different? Well, it is an African society transplanted to the New World and the only slave society to successfully revolt and overthrow the established order but that was in the 1790s and I don’t think Haiti’s problem are ethnically based. Barbados is one of the most successful countries anywhere. So being a former slave society is not indicative of future prospects. Granted the sugar plantations in French Haiti were much more brutal than those in British Jamaica. But Haiti threw off its European overlord in a very brutal 13 year revolt. It was the most violent of the New World revolution and the only one to have an explicit racial character. Of the half million African slaves on the sugar plantations, perhaps 100,000 died. So Haiti was born in blood. The experience cannot be discounted.
But independence probably did have a cost in Haiti. It perhaps came too early (1804) though really the problem is that power went from a French elite (the French plantation owners were mostly massacred) to control by an army – the first Haitian President Dessalines declared himself emperor – that in the first years was led by dark-skinned blacks though in time lighter-skinned (see Harry Reid isn’t alone) blacks increasingly took charge. Almost immediately after independence, Haiti was split between a dark-skinned north and a mulatto south. And in no other country except perhaps Venezuela (another slave society) did the military play as large a role in governing. The constitution existed only on paper.
The racism in the 19th century left Haiti isolated. The US didn’t recognize Haiti until 1862. France recognized Haitian independence in 1838 but on the condition that (and get ready for this) Haiti paid reparations to French property owners. I forget the amount off the top of my head but they were onerous and succeeded in bankrupting the Haitian state. Therein lies another of Haiti’s longstanding problems, a bankrupt state. The other was, of course, a deep political instability. Of the 22 heads of state between 1843 and 1915, only one served out his prescribed term of office. Three were killed in palace revolts, really a rarity in Latin America. Coups elsewhere were the bloodless kind. In 1915, President Wilson invaded the country and the US would effectively rule the country until 1934.
But ethnically within Haiti there were changes. The mulatto class took economic power running the country as if it were an estate. The political power for the mulatto class came once the US left. The Duvaliers, pere et fils, ruled the country with US backing from 1957 until 1986. Internal rule was enforced through use of militias, again a Latin American rarity. So the country does remind one more of Africa than Latin America.
The other really curious thing about Haiti is its overpopulation. It is the second most densely populated country in the Americas after El Salvador. Here African traditions do play a role. The average Haitian woman has some 5 children but there’s a catch. They will have fewer children if they have a male first. Have a girl and it’s try try try again until you have a boy.
The country does have potential but it needs to be rescued from itself. The question is how? We no longer live in a colonial world and the US really only intervenes now if there is a threat to US interests and Haiti doesn’t really fit that bill though the country is infected by the corruption of the drug trade. Part of the reason that the US wasn’t sorry to see President Aristide go in 2004 was that the US knew he allowed Haiti to be a transshipment point. Then again the clique that ousted President Aristide were also financed by drug money.
But a Haiti that remains a shell of a state is one that falls prey to being a vehicle for drug trade. I’m a legalization is the least worst option kind of guy but failing that I think it important not to allow countries to be controlled by drug cartels.
My big push on Haiti has been on reforestation. If I could fix one thing in Haiti it is that I would move to reforest the country. I’d look at what Cuba did in Piñar del Rio and see if we can learn from that experience. Of course, it would be great to have the Cubans involved but that’s not going to happen unfortunately.
Haiti merits our attention and not just because a devastating earthquake has taken place. We can fix Haiti in a decade if we really wanted to, all that is lacking is the will.
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