Three years, three different Japanese Prime Ministers. Is the LDP’s 54-year run at an end? The story in the New York Times:
Prime Minister Taro Aso faced the possibility of a revolt in his own party on Monday, after a bruising defeat in a local vote forced him to call for a general election in which his Liberal Democratic Party faces almost certain defeat.
Mr. Aso had been trying to put off the national elections, now set for Aug. 30, in part because polls had shown that his party could lose its almost unbroken 54-year grip on power. Mr. Aso’s hand appeared to have been forced, though, by a poor showing on Sunday in a municipal election in Tokyo.
With both Mr. Aso and the conservative Liberal Democrats sinking in opinion polls, political experts say that the prime minister may face the wrath of his own party members, who fear their organization could break apart if it finds itself in the unusual position of losing power.
A poll conducted last week for Asahi Shimbun, one of Japan’s largest newspapers, showed that 37 percent of those surveyed said they would vote for the opposition Democrats in national elections, compared with 22 percent for the Liberal Democrats. A poll last week by another newspaper, Yomiuri Shimbun, found Mr. Aso’s approval rating had fallen to 20 percent.
In recent weeks, a growing chorus of lawmakers has called for Mr. Aso to step down so the party could enter the elections with a new, and they hope more popular, leader. Experts expect that chorus to swell in the coming weeks. “We can’t just engage in group suicide,” Hidenao Nakagawa, a former party secretary general, told a party meeting two weeks ago.
The Liberal Democrats have governed Japan for most of its postwar history, but recently the party has appeared unable to adapt to a changing era. Disgruntled voters increasingly blame them for failing to outgrow traditional pork-barrel politics and find an end to the nation’s seemingly intractable political paralysis and economic decline.
“The Tokyo assembly vote pushed Prime Minister Aso into a position where he either had to dissolve the Parliament or resign,” said Ichita Yamamoto, a Liberal Democratic lawmaker. “The feeling inside the party is that he couldn’t put off the decision any longer.”