Glenn Thrush over at Politico looks at five top Democratic movers and shakers on the outside looking in so far at least at a Cabinet appointment in an Obama Administration:
John Kerry, State—The Massachusetts Senator and former Democratic presidential nominee was a passionate, articulate and early supporter of Obama, a fixture on both conference calls and the Sunday talk show circuit. Kerry’s people say he never had any expectations of being named Secretary of State but other Democrats say he made no secret of his Foggy Bottom aspirations. “He’s crushed,” said one Senate aide. Kerry would have been a fine pick, sources say, but Obama apparently had his eye on Hillary Clinton since the early fall. He does get an impressive consolation prize: the chairmanship of the Foreign Relations Committee vacated by Joe Biden.
Howard Dean, HHS—He’s stepping down as DNC Chairman with a revitalized reputation, thanks to Obama’s validation of his 50-state strategy. But Dean, a physician by training and rebel by inclination, has a keen interest in health care refrom and was considered a top candidate for the top job at Health and Human Services. That is, until the gig went to former Senate Majority Leader Tom Daschle, a less volatile player who is expected to be the administration’s health-care point man on the Hill. What did Dean in? It could have been his frosty relationship with Obama Chief of Staff Rahm Emanuel, who was frustrated with Dean’s efforts on behalf of House Dems, according to the Wall St. Journal. The former Vermont governor, though, has a good relationship with Obama, and is likely to pop up somewhere.
Richard Holbrooke, State—Oy, did he get big-footed. The Clinton administration’s foreign policy Mr. Fix It lobbied for the State Department job with a fury, according to the L.A. Times, but wasn’t apparently under serious consideration due to previous clashes with Obama’s international team. Holbrooke, known for his intellect and pit-bull demeanor, was a top advisor to Clinton during her primary campaign and could get a role in the Clinton state department.
Bill Richardson, State—New Mexico’s governor and former Clinton U.N. Ambassador-cum-energy secretary dearly wanted State. And Obama owed him big-time, both for his primary endorsement and for Richardson’s now-forgotten decision to swing his delegates to Obama during the Iowa Caucuses. If he’s upset, though, his tears will apparently fall on the cabinet table. He’s reportedly the new Commerce secretary, and was apparently offered Interior too.
Susan Rice, NSA—Not a done deal, but retired Marine General James Jones and Clinton White House alum James Steinberg have emerged as the two top candidates for the national security adviser job, according to numerous press accounts. That would leave Susan Rice, a top Obama national security adviser long rumored for the post, out in the cold. Rice’s prospects may have dimmed because she is one of the few Obama insiders who has been skeptical of a quick withdrawal from Iraq. But centrists, including Brookings Institution fellow Michael O’Hanlon, are still making the case she would provide a valuable counterweight to more dovish Obama aides. It’s likely, though, that she’ll be given a major role in the new administration somewhere else, if she wants one.
On four of the five, I am actually relieved and thankful. The sole exception is Richard Holbrooke who is a tenacious diplomat and would make an exceptional Secretary of State though his combative style is probably not a good fit with the President-Elect with his cool and detached view of policy. There are others on the down and out so far.
John Edwards, HHS or Attorney General–Pity that the most populist of the leading contenders for the Democratic nomination and whose endorsement was highly sought after is now a pariah in the Democratic party.
Lawrence Summers, Treasury–The former Clinton Treasury Secretary and former President of Harvard wanted a return to the Treasury Department. It’s likely that opposition from women’s groups scuttled any chance of his nomination. His abrasive character likely didn’t help either. However President-elect Obama is expected to name him as his pick to head the National Economic Council. So there is a consolation prize and perhaps down the road a Federal Reserve Governorship.
Franklin Raines, Housing & Urban Development–Ignominy if not jail is the destiny of this high profile former CEO of Fannie Mae.
Jim Johnson, Housing & Urban Development–Another former CEO of Fannie Mae headed for pariah status.
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