Archive for July 8th, 2008
Off the Cuff Versus The Teleprompter

Now I actually agree with Barack Obama on this one. Foreign language instruction in the United States trails the rest of the world, not just in the OECD, but in the developing world as well. But off the cuff trying to deliver his message, Obama is a disaster. He stumbles for words and comes well condescending and pedantic as he does in the above. Count the number of “uhs” in that minute segment. Four, I think. And why does he talk off to the side and at the ground and not at the audience? Get him on the teleprompter and he dazzles. With McCain, it is the inverse. McCain can be witty, at his own peril even, off the cuff but on the teleprompter McCain is stiff and frankly boring. So in a sense this election is off the cuff versus the teleprompter.

From the New York Times:

Senator John McCain was performing relatively smoothly as he unveiled his energy plan.

He managed to limit the mechanical hand chops and weirdly timed smiles that can often punctuate his speeches. He delivered his lines with an ease that suggested a momentary peace with his longtime nemesis, the teleprompter. (He relied on a belt-and-suspenders approach, with text scrolling down screens to his left and right, and on a big TV set in front of him.)

But when Mr. McCain, the presumptive Republican presidential nominee, came to the intended sound bite of his speech — the part about reducing America’s dependence on foreign oil — he hit a slick.

“I have set before the American people an energy plan, the Lex-eegton Project,” Mr. McCain said, drawing a quick breath and correcting himself. “The Lex-ing-ton Proj-ect,” he said slowly. “The Lexington Project,” he repeated. “Remember that name.”

In a town meeting in Cincinnati the next day, Mr. McCain would again slip up on the name of the Massachusetts town, where, he noted, “Americans asserted their independence once before.” He called it “the Lexiggdon Project” and twice tried to fix his error before flipping the name (“Project Lexington”) in subsequent references.

Mr. McCain’s battle of Lexington is part of a struggle he is engaged in every day. A politician who has thrived in the give-and-take settings of campaign buses, late-night TV couches and town meetings, he now is trying to meet the more formal speaking demands of a general election campaign.

By his own admission, Mr. McCain is not a great orator. He is ill-suited to lecterns, which often dwarf his small stature, and he tends to sound as if he is reading his lines, not speaking them. His shortcomings have been accentuated in a two-man race, particularly because the other man — Senator Barack Obama, the presumptive Democratic nominee — can often dazzle on stage.

There has to be a better choice.

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What To Do With Tax Havens? A Challenge for the G8

Tax Havens

Cross-posted from The Global Sociology Blog. My post, my views.

Via Le Monde, everybody hates tax havens but they do not exist at the margins of the global financial system. If anything, they are an integral part of it and every year, billions of dollars land there. They are an integral part of the infrastructure of international finances.

What circulates through tax havens? Clean and dirty money (proceeds from illegal activities that end up there for purposes of money-laundering), tax-evasion money. Tax havens were allowed to prosper by all the economic powers, but now, they are worried because they have realized that these havens make funding terrorism easier and more discreet. In the past months, we also discovered that these place facilitate tax fraud on a grand scale, as the case of Liechtenstein where more than a thousand Western people deposited their funds. So, it is not really a surprise that this topic has come up at the G8 meeting.
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Obama’s Fundraising Lottery — Illegal in Some States

How embarrassing but it turns out that Obama’s little fundraising contest — donate $5.00 or more to the Convention with ten winners selected to win a trip to Denver — is illegal under some state laws. They have had to change the rules. Now you don’t have to donate to enter the contest to win.

From the Rocky Mountain News:

Barack Obama’s campaign changed the rules of a highly publicized fundraiser Tuesday, after gambling regulators said the contest — a chance at one of 10 trips to the Democratic National Convention — was an illegal lottery.

“We are happy to have resolved this issue working closely with state officials,” said Nick Kimball, spokesman for the Obama campaign in Minnesota, where the controversy first surfaced, according to the Minneapolis-St. Paul Star Tribune.

A spokesman for the Colorado Secretary of State said Democrats would have to get a license if they were conducting “a standard raffle where they’re buying tickets” in order to win.

But under the new rules, supporters don’t have to donate money to win one of the trips, which include a seat for Obama’s acceptance speech at Invesco Field at Mile High and a meeting with the candidate.

Instead, the campaign will choose 10 people based on “individuals’ stories and other factors,” said Matt Chandler, Colorado press secretary for the Obama campaign.

The campaign announced the contest Monday, minutes after officials confirmed Obama would give his speech at Invesco rather than the Pepsi Center, a switch that sources said could add $3 million to the cost of staging the Democratic National Convention.

In an e-mail to supporters, campaign manager David Plouffe said the campaign had “reserved a special place for a few of the people who brought us this far.”

“If you make a donation of $5 or more between now and midnight on July 31st, you could be one of 10 supporters chosen to fly to Denver and spend two days and nights at the convention, meet Barack backstage, and watch his acceptance speech in person,” the e-mail stated.

It then included a link to the Obama Web site and the words: “Make a donation now and you could have a front row seat to history.”

The solicitation prompted an inquiry by the head of the Minnesota Gambling Control Board and the Minnesota Department of Public Safety, the Star-Tribune reported Tuesday.

The Twin Cities is the site of the Republican National Convention.

Doug Forsman, a special agent who works in the public safety department’s gambling enforcement division, said the fundraiser constituted a lottery, which can be conducted only by the Minnesota State Lottery.

Forsman told the newspaper he gave the Obama campaign two options: either state online that the contest was void in Minnesota or give people the option to participate without donating.

The campaign chose to change its Web site, according to the Star-Tribune.

On Tuesday night, the Web site included a separate link where people could participate in the contest without donating.

The fundraising strategy is not a new one, and not limited to the Obama campaign, which also offered dinners with the candidate during the primary season.

In January, Hillary Clinton’s campaign sent out an e-mail from Clinton’s daughter, Chelsea. In it, Chelsea Clinton said the campaign would select an “online supporter” to sit with her during a debate in Los Angeles and to meet Hillary Clinton.

Below the fold is the original email solicitation: (more…)

Obama’s Energy Ad

McCain may have voted with Bush 95% of the time, I’ll have to double check that. But one thing I won’t have to double check is who voted for the Bush-Cheney Energy Policy and who didn’t. Barack Obama voted for the Bush-Cheney Energy Policy. John McCain didn’t vote for it. In fact of those who ran for President in this election cycle only three candidates voted for the Bush-Cheney Energy Policy: Duncan Hunter, Tom Tancredo and Barack Obama.

You can’t run away from that vote Barack. I am going to hang it around your neck like an albatross. Talk about energy and I will bring up that vote and I will bring up the fact that you have received more money from oil & gas executives than all other candidates combined. You are the oil & gas con man.

From the Associated Press:

“On gas prices, John McCain’s part of the problem,” the Obama ad states. “McCain and Bush support a drilling plan that won’t produce a drop of oil for seven years. McCain will give more tax breaks to big oil. He’s voted with Bush 95 percent of the time.

“Barack Obama will make energy independence an urgent priority. Raise mileage standards. Fast-track technology for alternative fuels. A $1,000 tax cut to help families as we break the grip of foreign oil. A real plan and new energy.”

McCain and Bush want Congress to lift the ban on drilling on the continental shelf. If Congress agrees and states then permit it, energy experts say it would take at least five to seven years before new drilling could begin.

Obama’s claim that McCain would give more tax breaks to oil companies is based on McCain’s proposal to cut overall corporate tax rates. The campaign cited a study by the Democratic-leaning Center for American Progress Action Fund that concluded McCain’s proposal to cut corporate tax rates from 35 percent to 25 percent would cut taxes on the top five U.S. oil companies by $3.8 billion a year.

McCain, however, did vote against a 2005 energy bill backed by President Bush, saying at the time that it included billions of dollars in unnecessary tax breaks for the oil industry. Obama voted for the legislation. While Obama’s ad correctly states that McCain voted with Bush 95 percent of the time in 2007, his support for Bush’s position on legislation in 2005 was a low of 77 percent.

“Barack Obama today launched the first attack ad from either campaign in this election, which follows a string of calculating position changes proving that Barack Obama’s commitment to a new type of politics is officially over,” said McCain spokesman Tucker Bounds. “Even worse, Barack Obama actually voted for the Bush-Cheney energy bill and its big-oil tax breaks that he is attacking, so let’s end the pretense that Obama is anything other than a typical politician.”

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Dr. No

There is also a new Obama ad on energy. I’ll put it up as soon as I can find it.

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Obama at the Brandenburg Gate & German Politics

Der Spiegel has another update on Obama’s hopes for a speech at the Brandenburg Gate in Berlin.

Barack Obama wants to hold a speech at the Brandenburg Gate when he comes to Berlin later this month. The city’s mayor wants to grant him his wish, but the German chancellor has misgivings.

The warning from the Chancellery was clear: The Brandenburg Gate is the “most famous and history-rich location in Germany,” a Chancellery source said on Monday. In the past, it has only been used on very special occasions for addresses by politicians, and when, then only by elected American presidents. More clearly stated: Democratic presidential candidate Barack Obama would be better off looking for another location in the German capital to hold a speech.

But Berlin Mayor Klaus Wowereit appeared unimpressed by the warning from Chancellor Angela Merkel’s office and said during a press conference on Tuesday that he would be pleased if Obama were to address the public at the Brandenburg Gate.

“We are not ruling anything out,” a spokesman for the Berlin city council told SPIEGEL ONLINE. “The Brandenburg Gate would certainly be a nice place.” The local government also pointed out that the decision over where Obama should make his appearance was in the hands of the city council of Berlin and not the chancellor’s office or the federal government.

In an interview with SPIEGEL ONLINE, an Obama adviser confirmed that the Brandenburg Gate would be the Democratic candidate’s top choice for the location of a speech on trans-Atlantic relations. (more…) It would be a “simply great” backdrop, the adviser said. After all, the source added, John F. Kennedy’s famous appearance outside the Schöneberg Town Hall in 1963 was still very much alive in people’s memories.

Some suspect Mayor Wowereit’s remarks may be self-serving. Jürgen Trittin, deputy floor leader of The Green Party in the German parliament, predicted that Obama would end up speaking at the Brandenburg Gate. “Do you think that Wowereit would miss the chance to appear alongside Barack Obama,” he asked an interviewer on the German news channel N24. “I believe Wowereit is thinking: ‘He should appear, I will come into the picture and everything will be great’.”

Here is the issue, Chancellor Merkel leads a very popular German government and she is a member of the conservative CDU party. Berlin Mayor Klaus Wowereit is a member of the very unpopular SDP party that is polling under 20%. The mayor wants to tap into Obama’s popularity to lift his own.

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Ingrid Betancourt’s Comments in Europe Cause Consternation in Colombia

She left Colombia within 48 hours of being freed and she has no plans to return. She has declined to march on July 20th, Colombia’s Independence Day, in a march against the FARC. She raised eyebrows when she declared that she wants to serve her country but be buried in France. In Colombia upon her liberation by the Colombian Armed Forces, she praised Uribe and his approach towards the FARC. Now in France, she sings a different tune. She tells Uribe to tone down his rhetoric of “hate” towards the FARC. Calling them “terrorists” is hateful? They are terrorists. She thinks that Colombia is isolated in Latin America, frankly we know who our friends are. She blames the FARC for Uribe’s rise. Not quite sure what to make of that one. She praises France for pressing for her release. That publicity was likely a double edge sword. The international attention placed on you likely made you even more valuable to the FARC. Emails on Raul Reyes’ computer testify to the fact that FARC never intended to let you go free.

Do us a favour Ingrid, stay in France. You’re French, not Colombian. Quedate alla y dejenos en paz.

Here is a link to the interview in English with BBC World Service. Below the fold, an interview in Spanish with additional commentary. (more…)

Tim Ferriss Interviews Daniel Ellsberg on FISA


What Every American Needs to Know (and Do) About FISA Before Tuesday, July 8th from Tim Ferriss on Vimeo

Today marks the start of the new FISA (Federal Information and Surveillance Act) regime. Your government can spy on you without cause and without a warrant. Tim Ferriss interviews Daniel Ellsberg, of the Pentagon Papers fame, on his thoughts on FISA.

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RNC Ad Leaves Obama Scratching His Head

Brutal.

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Pollster Douglas Schoen at the Aspen Ideas Festival

Part One

Part Two

Pollster Douglas Schoen releases the results of an exclusive public opinion poll about the hopes and desires of American voters for the 2008 election. A 59 page powerpoint presentation is available for printing at Aspen Ideas Festival. Or you can follow along below:

I strongly urge that you give the 12 minute presentation a full listening. The presentation was given on July 7, 2008.

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