International energy subsidies in the early 1990s were anywhere from $235 billion USD to $350 billion USD a year, according to the World Bank. Since then they have only continued to grow, eating up government budgets and causing a disruption of free market forces. However, that was an era of cheap oil energy. That era is over.
Fuel subsidies are common practise in many countries around the world as governments seek to ease the pain of higher fuel and energy costs. Goldman Sachs estimates that about half of the world’s populations currently benefits from some sort of fuel subsidy. But by distorting fuel prices, fuel subsidies encourage fuel consumption and discourage the development and use of new alternative energy sources. As long as oil-derived energy is cheap, there is no incentive for other more costly forms of energy. The International Herald Tribune has an article today on the hidden costs of fuel subsidies.
Buckling under the weight of record oil prices, several Asian countries have cut or are thinking of cutting their fuel subsidies, which raises a pressing question for Beijing: Can China afford its own oil subsidies at a time when it is spending billions on post-earthquake reconstruction?
The short answer is yes, because China is blessed with both large trade account and fiscal surpluses. The reconstruction cost is projected to amount to about 1 percent of China’s gross domestic product, while the fuel subsidies account for another 1 percent, JPMorgan estimates.
So for China, the answer is yes. Blessed with both large trade and fiscal surpluses, China can afford to keep its economy humming and continue to invest in alternative energy development. Other countries, especially in Asia, are not quite so lucky and are facing increased budget deficits and slower economic growth. They are in a quandary. Many have large urban poor populations that depend on fuel subsidies for transportation to work and for cooking oil (kerosene) to live. Yet these governments depend on international financial markets for credit that frown upon government deficit spending.



